Warning signs – First week of Trump 2.0 spells out dangers

22nd January 2025

Mass opposition to Trump underway in the USA

At the victory rally held in advance of his official inauguration, US President Donald Trump vowed to get rid of the “radical Left woke” which he saw as dominating American life and culture.  For Trump the term encompasses a whole range of progressive policies and positions that working class organisations have fought for and won over many years but Trump and his cronies see as an impediment to the realisation of their particular version of the American Dream, to make the rich even richer.

In less than a week Trump has signed orders to withdraw from the Paris climate agreement; withdrawn the US from the World Health Organisation (WHO); declared a national emergency on the US/Mexico border, in order to not only halt migration into the US, but initiate the biggest mass deportations in US history; declared that children of migrants, born in the US, will no longer be deemed to have automatic rights to US citizenship, contrary to the 14th amendment of the US constitution; and granted pardons to nearly 1600 of his followers who stormed the Capitol building in January 2021, in spite of them having been convicted following due process in US courts.

Trump has also issued an executive order calling for an end to what he describes as “dangerous, demeaning and immoral”, diversity, equity and inclusion schemes, putting all staff overseeing such programmes on paid leave with immediate effect.  Consistent with this approach Trump has declared that in relation to gender in the US there, ”will be two sexes, male and female”, clearly a swipe at the transgender and LGBT communities.

In the US the People’s World noted that Trump has also “ended the Biden administrations Justice40 initiative, which set a policy that 40% of the benefits of federal investment must go to disadvantaged communities and repealed an executive order setting up a national goal for electric cars to make up half of new cars and truck sales by 2030.”

Flying in the face of all of the evidence that the planet faces a climate emergency, Trump’s response has been, ‘drill baby, drill’, and a promise of more permissions for oil and gas exploration to be granted.  Tariffs on imported goods from Canada and Mexico it has been suggested could be at 25% while a trade war with China, imposing tariffs on Chinese goods is in Trump’s sights, with a 10% tariff likely to be imposed as early as next week.  The mobilisation of the US military in the South China Sea and the possibility of Taiwan being a provocation for military action against China cannot be ruled out.

While Trump has already made belligerent noises in relation to Greenland and Panama, allegedly in the interests of economic and military security, some form of action against Iran is also a likely scenario, either directly or through proxy Israel, and there is almost certain to be an even greater intensification of the illegal blockade against Cuba.  Newly sworn in Secretary of State, Marco Rubio, is known for his vicious anti-Cuban views.

While there is a degree of naivety amongst some on the Left that Trump can only serve one term and sense will prevail in 2028, there is no indication that the Democrats have either a strategy for winning back working class votes or a credible candidate to front a campaign.  There is also the possibility that the constitutional constraint on Presidents only serving two terms could be overturned and a Trump Presidency extended into the 2030’s.

In any event, based upon the first week in office it is clear that there is no room for complacency.  Progressive trade union, women’s and civil rights groups, along with the Communist Party USA, are organising resistance at local, state and national levels to challenge Trump every step of the way, opposing both domestic policy and the imperialist designs of the US across the world.  

Supporting these efforts will become increasingly important as Trump’s term progresses.  That will include putting pressure upon the British government not to kowtow to the agenda of racism, imperialism and the threat of war which Trump’s second term will undoubtedly herald.  Trade unions, the Labour Party and progressive campaigns such as Stop the War and CND must ensure that mass extra Parliamentary action is used effectively to press for an independent British foreign policy, free of US diktat, leaving NATO and reducing military spending.   

The noxious smell of Musk

12th January 2025

Musk and Farage – potential partners in crime

The whiff of musk which followed Donald Trump around the campaign trail in his bid to return to the White House in the United States has become an acrid and pervasive smell.  Worse still, the odour has been caught on the Atlantic winds and made its way across the ocean to become a stench in danger of immobilising further the political life of Britain.

The world’s richest man, Elon Musk, has an estimated worth of US$421 billion.  Not content with a role gifted by Donald Trump to run a Department of Government Efficiency, effectively Trump outsourcing cuts in public services, Musk has recently been intervening in British politics on the subject of grooming gangs, which has stirred considerable controversy, and his on again off again threat to fund Nigel Farage’s Reform Party to the tune of $100 million.

Since acquiring the media platform formerly known as Twitter, now X, in October 2022, Musk has diluted verification measures on the site and, according to a wide range of campaign groups, has overseen a growth in racist hate speech, homophobic slurs and antisemitic comments on the platform.  In November 2023, the Centre for Countering Digital Hate released a new report claiming 98% of misinformation, antisemitism, Islamophobia, and other hate speech, in relation to the Israeli genocide in Palestine, remained on X after 7 days of reporting, generating over 24 million views. 

To say that Musk has significant power and influence would be an understatement.  That this influence is being used in an attempt to distort the political landscape in Britain, consistent with the distortions already evident in the US, would be hard to deny.

The recent controversy around grooming gangs, repeated in a wave of social media posts, including some amplified by Musk, allege that a 2008 Home Office document advised police not to intervene in child grooming cases because victims had “made an informed choice about their sexual behaviour”.

The unfounded claim about a Home Office circular to police stems from an interview Nazir Afzal, former Crown Prosecution Service chief prosecutor for North West England, gave to the BBC on 19 October 2018. He now admits that he had not seen any such circular himself, despite apparently stating its existence as fact.

In a statement to the BBC, the Home Office said it had never instructed police not to go after grooming gangs:

“There has never been any truth in the existence of a Home Office circular telling police forces that grooming gangs should not be prosecuted, or that their victims were making a choice, and it is now clear that the specific circular which was being referred to does absolutely no such thing.”

However, none of this has gained traction on X, though Musk’s suggestions that Keir Starmer failed to prosecute gangs and that Home Office minister Jess Phillips “deserves to be in prison”, as well as being described by Musk as  a “rape genocide apologist”, have gained widespread coverage.

The Child Sexual Abuse Inquiry, which published its findings in 2022, makes clear that  “abuse must be pursued and challenged everywhere with no fear or favour”.  Professor Alexis Jay, who led that inquiry, has said that she felt “frustrated” that none of its 20 recommendations to tackle abuse had been implemented more than two years later.

However, none of this makes it an issue for Elon Musk, and his intervention has only accelerated disinformation around this issue.  The far right have pounced upon the issue of child sexual exploitation (CSE) to suggest that grooming is predominantly an issue of race or religion, citing the fact of men of Pakistani heritage being involved in cases in Rochdale, Rotherham and Telford.  However, Home Office research published in 2020 draws no such conclusion, in fact stating that “Research has found that group-based CSE offenders are most commonly White.” (Group-based Child Sexual Exploitation Characteristics of Offending – December 2020)

Clearly the Tories, who have also jumped on this bandwagon, failed to do anything about the Jay Inquiry when in office.  In fact Tory leader Kemi Badenoch opted this week to try and stop Labour’s Bill aimed at protecting children.  Labour have the opportunity to consider and implement the Jay recommendations.  This must be a priority as a minimum in relation to this issue.

To add to the looming disinformation wars Meta boss, Mark Zuckerberg, announced this week that the third party fact checking network set up in 2016, in relation to Facebook and Instagram is to be dismantled, accusing them of being “politically biased”.  How effective the network has been is open to debate but the fact that Zuckerberg sees fit to jettison it, just as Donald Trump calls in the removers for his return to the White House and Elon Musk decides on the arrangement of furniture, is further cause for concern.

Zuckerberg has stated that he will,

“work with President Trump to push back on governments around the world that are going after American companies and pushing to censor more.”

Lies, deceit and disinformation are an endemic part of the capitalist system and core to its functioning to discredit the Left and any opposition.  The smear campaigns run against Jeremy Corbyn as Labour leader may yet come back to haunt Starmer as the world wide bastions of right wing authoritarianism mobilise around Trump’s return to the White House.

Labour may have been seen as a safer pair of hands than the Tories in the short term as far as British capital was concerned but US imperialism may not see things the same way.  Toying with funding for Farage sends just such a signal.

We have already heard threats against, Greenland, Panama and the desire for Canada to become the 51st US state coming from the President Elect.  Some of this may be bluster but may equally be laying the ground for the looming conflict with China, which the US is keen to engineer.  If that does happen there could be many innocent victims but there is a guarantee that for Trump and his international media cronies, truth will certainly be one of them.

US election – Resistance is vital

7th November 2024

Demonstrations will continue to oppose the reactionary policies of President Trump

The election of a new President in the United States is always a moment of international significance, given the role the US plays in world politics.  The Presidential election of 2024 has been described as the most consequential in a generation and there is no doubt that the re-election of Donald Trump will have profound repercussions both in the US and internationally.

Trump’s first term appointments of reactionary judges to the Supreme Court has already led to the reversal of Roe v Wade and the attack on reproductive rights in the US.  While each State can at the moment determine its own position there is no guarantee that Trump will not introduce nationwide anti-abortion legislation, under pressure from the hardline Christian evangelist lobby.

The belligerent stand taken by Trump in relation to the Black Lives Matter Movement also does not augur well for progress in the discrimination and treatment of the Black and Latino communities in the US.  While the media are making much out of the increase in Trump’s vote share amongst these communities, over the more socially liberal Kamala Harris, work is still needed to analyse the pattern of voting and the impact of many who stayed at home.

As a long standing advocate of gun laws being as relaxed as possible, US citizens cannot look forward to any action to restrain the gun lobby in the US, led by the fanatical National Rifle Association (NRA).  The consequence of lack of control over gun law in the US  saw nearly 43,000 people die from gun related violence in 2023 and any hope for that number to drop significantly under Trump is slim.

Trump has the backing of a shady grouping around the Make America Great Again (MAGA) campaign, called Project 2025: The Presidential Transition Project.

The blurb on their website states it’s mission:

“ It is not enough for conservatives to win elections. If we are going to rescue the country from the grip of the radical Left, we need both a governing agenda and the right people in place, ready to carry this agenda out on Day One of the next conservative Administration.

This is the goal of the 2025 Presidential Transition Project. The project will build on four pillars that will, collectively, pave the way for an effective conservative Administration.”

Trump has also called for thousands of federal employees to be fired and to be replaced by workers who are appropriately vetted on the basis of their ideological belief in the limited role of federal government and personal loyalty to him, stating,

“I will require every federal employee to pass a new civil service test, demonstrating an understanding of our constitutional limited government.”

Tax cuts for the rich and cuts in public services for the rest are likely to be the reality of Trump’s policies.

On the world stage the US military industrial complex will be looking forward to continued profits as Trump will undoubtedly continue promoting the sales of US weapons and technology worldwide.

In relation to the ongoing Israeli action in the Middle East, in Gaza, the West Bank, Lebanon and Iran, Trump has made clear his unswerving support for Benjamin Netanyahu and the ongoing incursions by the Israel Defence Force (IDF), resulting in thousands of deaths over the past year.  Trump’s election victory was greeted enthusiastically by Netanyahu and his supporters in Tel Aviv.

In his first term as President, Trump tore up the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) in relation to Iran, which constrained Iran’s nuclear programme in exchange for a relaxation of sanctions.  Given Trump’s belligerent tone towards Iran, allied with his support for Israel, there is a clear danger of escalation of the conflict in the Middle East.  

In relation to Ukraine Trump has been more ambivalent but the strategic objectives of the US and NATO, in encircling Russia in order to contain its influence, remain real.  However any settlement regarding Ukraine is arrived at in the short term, this wider objective will remain.

In the Indo-Pacific the military built up to counter the so called ‘threat’ of China continues, with ongoing economic and military support for Taiwan being key, along with the threat to peace in the region posed by the AUKUS alliance of the US, UK and Australia.

Any moves towards rapprochement with Cuba, mild as they were under the Obama administration, were ditched during Trump’s first term.  Cuba was added to the US state sponsors of terrorism list.  To the shame of the Biden administration this position was not reversed and the ongoing illegal blockade against Cuba, imposed by the US, will continue under a new Trump Presidency.

The ongoing CIA campaign to undermine progress in Venezuela, a long running effort to install a US friendly regime in that country, is unlikely to change under Trump,  while a clampdown upon migration from Latin America in general will reinforce the jingoism which has been a hallmark of Trump’s policies.  Trump has vowed to oversee the largest mass deportation in US history for example and has repeatedly stated that immigrants are “poisoning the blood” of the country.

The Trump administration may not be characterised as fascist yet but Trump does have form.   According to John Kelly, former White House Chief of Staff, during a 2018 trip to Paris to commemorate the end of World War I, Trump told him that Hitler “did a lot of good things.”

Much of the United States will be waking up to the hangover of a second Trump administration.  The broad anti-MAGA coalition will continue to mobilise against the reactionary legislation Trump is bound to introduce. The Communist Party USA is calling for a renewed resistance movement to build the anti-fascist front that has been developing over recent years.  Resistance is not only possible but vital, for the people of the US and the world.